Axiom just dropped its biggest update yet: prediction markets are now live on axiom.trade, powered by Polymarket. You can now trade the outcome of the World Cup, US elections, esports matches, and thousands of other real-world events — directly inside Axiom Trade, the same terminal you already use for Solana memecoins.
And for a limited time, qualifying active Axiom traders receive $20 of pUSD as a launch bonus.
WHAT ARE AXIOM PREDICTION MARKETS?
Prediction markets let you trade the probability of real-world events happening. Instead of buying a token, you're buying a position on an outcome — "Will Spain win the World Cup?" at 16.4¢ means the market prices Spain's chances at 16.4%.
If Spain wins, your position pays out at $1. If not, it expires at $0. The mechanics are similar to options, but the underlying is any event in the world.
Axiom's prediction markets are powered by Polymarket — the world's largest prediction market platform with billions in historical volume. Axiom gives you native access to Polymarket liquidity directly inside the trading terminal you already use.
WHAT CAN YOU TRADE?
The platform launches with four main categories:
Crypto — Trade outcomes on Bitcoin price milestones, protocol upgrades, exchange events, and on-chain metrics.
Sports — Trade live match outcomes, tournament winners, and individual performance markets. The World Cup is fully live with markets on every national team.
Politics — US Presidential Election 2028 (JD Vance and Gavin Newsom both at 15.2¢), Brazil Presidential Election (Lula at 47.5¢, Bolsonaro at 26.5¢), and global political events.
Esports — Counter-Strike, League of Legends, and other competitive gaming markets with high-frequency resolution (matches end in hours, not months).
All markets display Volume (24h), Liquidity, transaction count, number of active traders, and time until resolution.
HOW TO ACCESS AXIOM PREDICTION MARKETS
Step 1 — Go to axiom.trade and log in (or create an account with invite code SARIOSOL for a 10% fee discount on your trades).
Step 2 — Click on "Predictions" in the top navigation.
Step 3 — Browse by category: All, Crypto, Sports, Politics, or Watchlist.
Step 4 — Select any market and choose your position. Each outcome shows its current probability price in cents (0–100¢).
Step 5 — Set your size and confirm. Your position is on-chain via Polymarket's infrastructure.
HOW TO GET THE $20 pUSD BONUS
As part of the launch promotion, Axiom is distributing $20 of pUSD (Polymarket's USD stablecoin used for settling predictions) to qualifying active traders.
"Qualifying active" means you need to already be an active Axiom user — another reason to start using the platform now rather than waiting.
The bonus is credited automatically to eligible accounts. No code required.
WHY THIS MATTERS FOR SOLANA TRADERS
If you're already on Axiom for Solana memecoin trading, this opens an entirely new trading surface without switching platforms:
— World Cup is live right now. Spain at 16.4¢, France at 16.1¢, Portugal at 10.8¢. If you have a view on who lifts the trophy, you can express that view with real liquidity.
— Political markets are high-liquidity and slow-moving — less stress than memecoins, potentially high EV if you follow geopolitics.
— Esports markets resolve in hours. A CS2 match ending in 3 hours at 60% for Vitality ($45K volume, $62K liquidity) is a concrete, short-duration position.
— Watchlist feature lets you track specific markets the same way you track wallets on the KOL Explorer integration.
THE BIGGER PICTURE: AXIOM IS NO LONGER JUST A SOL TERMINAL
This update marks a major pivot for Axiom. The platform started as a Solana memecoin terminal. It has since added Hyperliquid perpetuals, yield via Marginfi, and now prediction markets powered by the largest on-chain prediction protocol in the world.
Axiom is building toward a single interface for all on-chain financial activity — spot trading, memecoins, perps, yield, and now event markets.
For traders who want to consolidate their on-chain activity in one place, this is the most important Axiom update since the terminal launched.
START TRADING PREDICTIONS ON AXIOM
Access prediction markets on Axiom: axiom.trade/@sariosol
Invite code SARIOSOL — 10% fee discount on all trades.
Launch bonus: $20 pUSD for qualifying active traders (limited time).